Tag Archive: Analysts

  1. What Does The Future Hold?

    Comments Off on What Does The Future Hold?

    The good news is most analysts expect economic growth in the United States to continue. The Wall Street Journal, The Economist, The Federal Reserve, and the International Monetary Fund all have forecast gross domestic product growth in the United States at 2.5 to 3.0 percent for 2015. That’s not quite as good as the 7 percent growth forecast for China or the 6.5 percent growth estimated for India, but it’s decent for a developed nation with a mature economy. In the UK, The British Chamber of Commerce (BBC) is forecasting a moderate slowdown in growth from 2015 at 2.8%. (more…)

  2. The Markets

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    Is it a melt-up?

    You’re familiar with the word melt. Ice cream melts. Snow melts. You may have seen someone melt down (or have done it yourself). Right now, markets may be experiencing a melt-up, according to Barron’s. Melt-up is a counterintuitive term which describes a sharp, emotion-driven improvement in market performance. Last June, The Wall Street Journal blog described the melt-up phenomenon like this: (more…)

  3. It has been said stock market returns revert to the mean

    Comments Off on It has been said stock market returns revert to the mean

    What does that mean? Reversion to the mean is a statistical phenomenon. It’s the idea the further something is from the mean – or average – the more likely it is the next thing that comes along will be closer to the mean. For example, if a golfer normally plays to par but plays three over par, it’s likely that player will finish better in the next game (unless, the player’s in a slump, but that is a different topic). 

    (more…)

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